Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for BARBARA-13 in Mexico from 28 May 2013 00:00 UTC to 29 May 2013 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for BARBARA-13

in Mexico

29 May 2013 15 UTC

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Meteorological source:

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BARBARA-13 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	250 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	121 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (30 May 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	105 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	121 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

105 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1.5 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
	4	29 May 2013 12:00	121	No people	240 thousand	Mexico
	5	29 May 2013 15:00	105	No people	No people	Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	5/28/2013 9:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.2, -96.5
2	5/29/2013 3:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	14.5, -95.7
3	5/29/2013 9:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	93	no people	29000 people	14.8, -95.6	Mexico
4	5/29/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	105	no people	530000 people	15.2, -95	Mexico
5	5/29/2013 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	105	no people	990000 people	15.7, -94.6	Mexico
5	5/30/2013	Tropical storm	74	no people	1 million people	16.9, -94	Mexico
5	5/30/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	47	no people	no people	17.9, -93.9	Mexico
5	5/31/2013	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	18.5, -94	Mexico

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
Mexico	Oaxaca
Mexico	Tabasco
Mexico	Veracruz
Mexico	Chiapas

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Ciudad Ixtepec	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	-
Juchitan	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	66000 people
Tehuantepec	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	37000 people
Salina Cruz	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	74000 people
Huimanguillo	Tabasco	Mexico	City	26000 people
Cintalapa	Chiapas	Mexico	City	33000 people
Unión Hidalgo	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	12000 people
Arriaga	Chiapas	Mexico	City	22000 people
Tonalá	Chiapas	Mexico	City	32000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in La Majada, Mexico. This height is estimated for 30 May 2013 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (19 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 29 May 2013 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	30 May 2013 02:00	La Majada	Mexico	0.7
	29 May 2013 23:00	Union Hidalgo	Mexico	0.6
	29 May 2013 23:00	Chicapa	Mexico	0.6
	30 May 2013 00:00	Huajapan	Mexico	0.5
	29 May 2013 22:00	Pesqueria	Mexico	0.5
	30 May 2013 00:00	El Roble	Mexico	0.5
	29 May 2013 21:00	Costa Rica	Mexico	0.4
	29 May 2013 22:00	San Francisco del Mar	Mexico	0.4
	30 May 2013 01:00	Cachimba	Mexico	0.4
	30 May 2013 02:00	San Dionisio del Mar	Mexico	0.3
	29 May 2013 21:00	Lagarto	Mexico	0.3
	29 May 2013 21:00	Santa Maria Xandani	Mexico	0.3
	29 May 2013 20:00	Majada Villalobos	Mexico	0.2
	29 May 2013 23:00	Arista	Mexico	0.2
	29 May 2013 23:00	Buenavista	Mexico	0.2
	29 May 2013 20:00	Garrapateras	Mexico	0.1
	29 May 2013 21:00	Salina Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	29 May 2013 23:00	Solo Dios	Mexico	0.1
	30 May 2013 01:00	Boqueron	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.